AJ 2026 Community Risk Atlas

Small & at-risk Jewish federations · North America
Enrico Ravenna (JFAR) & Jessie Dowsakul (Columbia)
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Federations shown
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Jewish pop (est, shown)
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Critical priority
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Large-territory feds

Map view

ADL 2025 headline

6,274 antisemitic incidents nationwide in 2025 — 33% lower than 2024 but the 3rd-highest year on record since ADL began tracking in 1979.
Assaults still rose. Three Jewish people were murdered (DC Capital Jewish Museum, Boulder Run for Their Lives, PA Governor’s residence firebombing). 300+ assault victims.
Small communities in the line of fire: a Chabad Jewish Center in Punta Gorda, FL was firebombed in 2025 — a small Jewish community covered by a regional federation at distance. Exactly the kind of exposure this kit is built to surface.
Policy lever: ADL secured a $30M increase to the federal Nonprofit Security Grant Program for FY2026 — the funding mechanism small/at-risk federations can mobilize against.
Source: ADL Audit of Antisemitic Incidents 2025.
~7.5M
Total NA Jewry
7.0M
Federation reach
~500K
Outside reach
  • Geographic isolation — Live in areas where no federation exists and the nearest one is too far to serve them. Concentrated in the rural South, Mountain West, and Great Plains.
  • Below-threshold communities — Communities too small (~200–800 Jews) to sustain a federation structure. Many dissolved in the last 20 years; others never formed one.
  • Urban unaffiliated — Live within a federation's footprint but are entirely disengaged — no synagogue, no JCC, no federation connection. Largest concentration in major metros.
Source: Pew Research Center, Jewish Americans in 2020; AJYB 2023; American Jewish Population Project (Brandeis). The 7.5M figure uses the broadest definition of Jewish identity (religion + Jewish background, no religion). Federation-covered estimate is derived from this atlas's 146-community dataset.

Security partners

Secure Community Network coverage — overlay on any view to see how SCN regions overlap the federation footprint.

Capital cities

28 of 145 federations sit in their state, provincial, or the U.S. federal capital — direct proximity to the legislature that funds programs like the state NSGP.

Universities & campus life

559 North American universities with a known Jewish student population — sized by that population, colored by federation coverage, ringed red where ADL graded campus climate D/F.

Filters

Critical High Moderate Lower

Legend — vulnerability

Critical (score ≥ 60)
High (40–59)
Moderate (22–39)
Lower (< 22)
Marker size ∝ Jewish population. Heat layer weighted by Jewish population.

Most at-risk (top 20)

Legend — security view

≥ 5.0 incidents / 100k (2024)
3.0–5.0 / 100k
1.5–3.0 / 100k
< 1.5 / 100k
No data (Canada)
Marker color = ADL incidents / 100k (state, 2024). Popups also show FBI reported anti-Jewish hate crimes / 100k where available.
ADL = all reported antisemitic incidents (incl. non-criminal). FBI = law-enforcement-reported hate crimes; agency participation varies, so FBI counts run far lower. Two lenses on the same exposure.
Sources: ADL Audit of Antisemitic Incidents 2024; FBI Crime Data Explorer 2024 (9 states wired; national total 1,938 anti-Jewish hate crimes, 2024). Remaining states pending.

Legend — ADL trend 2024→2025

+5% or worse (rising)
−4 to +4% (roughly flat)
−14 to −5% (modest decline)
−29 to −15% (clear decline)
≤ −30% (steep decline)
No 2025 data (pending / Canada)
2025: 6,274 incidents nationwide, down 33% YoY but assaults still rising (3 fatalities, 300+ victims). Top-10 states verbatim; other states pending.
Source: ADL Audit of Antisemitic Incidents 2025 (published 2026-05-06).

Legend — growth (10‑yr)

Strong growth (≥ +15%)
Growth (+5 to +15%)
Stable (−5 to +5%)
Decline (−15 to −5%)
Steep decline (< −15%)
Modeled % change in Jewish pop ~2015–2025. documented tag = study/strong evidence; modeled = regional migration pattern. Verify vs. Berman DataBank.

Legend — value

High-Value (score ≥ 65)
Promising (50–64)
Stable (38–49)
Declining (< 38)
Value = demonstrated growth + strategic leverage: growing communities anchoring large / isolated / underserved key areas score highest. Declining communities get no leverage bonus. Adaptive-capacity half of the definition is held as a future qualitative field.
Data note. Jewish population figures are estimates aligned to the American Jewish Year Book (2023) / Berman Jewish DataBank and should be verified against the live DataBank. Head-of-security contacts are intentionally blank and flagged “verify via SCN” (Secure Community Network). Executive-director names pending a public-research enrichment pass.
Jewish population density — where American Jewry concentrates
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